Vote counting is already underway, and initial results are likely to be available soon. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all This goes back to polling place elections when typically schools were used as polling places and would be available on Election Day, Ms. Bueno said. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. IE 11 is not supported. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. . The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Lazaro Gamio Lazaro Gamio Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. . Heres how it works Polished campaign ads show one dimension of an individual, but live, unedited television exposes the truth. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Wiley Nickel, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent North Carolinas 13th Congressional District. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. My opponents have spent years in public office, yet these same issues cost of housing, undermanaged tourism, an economic recovery plan remain even more critical today., When it comes to former Mayor Caldwell and his approval numbers, Moore said, It wouldnt surprise me if he decided not to run. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. An updating average, accounting for each poll's quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. Activate your Digital Account now. Lazaro Gamio To register to vote in Hawaii, one must be a United States citizen, a resident of the state, and at least 18 years old. Lazaro Gamio Democratic primary election Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for Governor of Hawaii on August 11, 2018. In two states, shifts in state power could lead to new restrictions. Lt. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. Alaska held a special House primary on a Saturday in June this year to comply with statutory requirements about the length of time between special primary and special general elections. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. Initially, he focused on combating homelessness. Withdrawn or disqualified candidates Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. likelihood, a Democratic will win in 2022. Dont expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska wont finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. Read more Lt. Gov. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. I have never seen it so crowded so many people vying to be governor as a Republican, Blair said. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. . Nov. 9, 2022, With more counties nearly finished counting, things keep looking better for Lt. Gov. This was one of 36 gubernatorial elections that took place place in 2022. Alicia Parlapiano Read more. Hes a great guy, they said.. Telephone: 808-529-4747. Our newest ratings and updates, Lazaro Gamio The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. The overall headline here is he (Green) does really well with everybody and even with Republicans, said political analyst Neal Milner. The biggest topic of discussion in the campaign has been how to address the states housing crisis, which was exacerbated by wealthy remote workers moving from the mainland during the pandemic and has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. All registered Hawaii voters are sent a mail ballot. Steve outlines the four factors that have made control of the Senate a coin flip. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Republican Primary Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. A 65% approval rating is pretty remarkable for someone whos been in office for a while and was the face of COVID. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. Hawaii has elected only one Republican governor in the last 50 years, so the focus is on the Democratic primary though Republicans will also be choosing a nominee, from a crowded 10-candidate field. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. Hawaii Governor. Lazaro Gamio Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket makes the math slightly easier for a Republican upset. , Kim Schrier, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Washingtons Eighth Congressional District. Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Alicia Parlapiano Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Maggie Astor GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. Hawaii Governor: Lt. Gov. Pennsylvanias Senate race now leans Democratic, according to our estimates. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. In Ariz., Mont., Neb. Only counties that have reported almost all of their votes are shown. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? Most polls have closed in Alaska, but Alaska doesnt release results until after its last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. Mr. Green, who became very popular among Hawaii residents as the states Covid liaison, has emphasized Hawaiis low infection rate compared with most other states. Outside groups supporting Mr. Branco ran attack ads condemning Ms. Tokuda over her 2012 endorsement from the National Rifle Association, though she subsequently supported gun control measures in the State Senate. So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? Honolulu, HI 96813 SEARCH. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. His approval rating fell below 50% only once, when Republican poll respondents gave him an approval rating of 47% on his handling of COVID-19. . Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. New York's 26th District. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Green, a Kona emergency room doctor, has been the face of the states response to COVID-19 for nearly two years. All rights reserved. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Civil Beat Politics and Opinion Editor Chad Blair said if Penn wins the nomination, his criminal record will be questioned. In the counties where most of the vote is in, Senator Ron Johnson is running ahead of Trump. The primary drew a large amount of outside spending for a relatively off-the-radar House race. Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. Heres the state of the closest races: , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. Honolulu, HI 96813 The actual vote for both the Democratic and Republican party primary elections will be held Aug. 13, followed by the general election on Nov. 8. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. August 10, 2024. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia is one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate. Enjoy this free story! Hawaiis First District, which covers the Honolulu metropolitan area, does not have a competitive race. The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Already a subscriber? Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Maggie Astor Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Tuesday was selected because it gave eligible voters in rural areas, traveling by horse and buggy, enough time to get to a polling location and make it back for market day, which was typically Wednesday, according to an interview Don Ritchie, a former Senate historian, gave NPR in 2012. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Ron DeSantis won re-election in Florida, cementing Republicans power in a state that was once a key battleground. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. But the main focus of the Democratic primary was housing. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. The Second Congressional District, which covers most of the state geographically, is electing a new member of Congress after Mr. Kahele decided to run for governor midway through his first term. Lazaro Gamio 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Vicky Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. Maggie Astor Lazaro Gamio Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat who was criticized over pandemic-era shutdowns. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. On paper, the candidates have similar views they both support abortion rights and stricter gun laws, for example but gun issues have become a point of contention. The Hawaii Poll was released just after Green and fellow Democratic gubernatorial candidates Vicky Cayetano and former Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell reported their latest fundraising figures. In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. Georgia: Perdue vs. Ossoff. Governor", "Chamber of Commerce Hawaii leader Sherry Menor-McNamara running for lieutenant governor", "Former State Senator Jill Tokuda seeking to be Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Former state Sen. Jill Tokuda files to challenge Kai Kahele for congressional seat", "Mounting speculation about a Kahele run for governor triggers 'grand chess game', "Chad Blair: Here's How Hawaii's Top 2022 Political Races Are Shaking Out", "Race expanding for Hawaii's next lieutenant governor", "Lee Cataluna: Candidates for LG May Find the Game Has Changed", "Former City Council chair criticized by constituent at Lt. Gov. 99% Est. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. . Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. According to the poll, Green also has strong support across Hawaiis largest ethnic groups, including those who identify as Caucasians, Japanese and Filipinos. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. Only 2% of voters did not recognize Greens name, the lowest of all of the gubernatorial candidates. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Vance defeated Rep. Tim Ryan after a competitive campaign for Ohios open Senate seat. Print subscriber but without online access? Josh Green continues to enjoy a commanding lead in the Democratic primary race for governor, while Congressman Kai Kahele and businesswoman Vicky Cayetano are in a distant second and third place, respectively. 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